Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.879551 1.008197 1.148234 1.311877 1.497749 1.702194 1.944016
2024-12-15 0.737510 0.923373 1.143008 1.421190 1.763641 2.170922 2.691587
2024-12-22 0.602008 0.818139 1.093699 1.469552 1.967538 2.603301 3.475076
2024-12-29 0.507800 0.744926 1.069342 1.543155 2.214731 3.129337 4.465797
2025-01-05 0.415685 0.655509 1.006148 1.552165 2.376271 3.567828 5.414108
2025-01-12 0.352447 0.594575 0.971136 1.593353 2.588375 4.108076 6.592062
2025-01-19 0.289057 0.520119 0.901236 1.567420 2.692475 4.501453 7.609757
2025-01-26 0.255524 0.487901 0.892439 1.636850 2.957940 5.183340 9.183421
2025-02-02 0.230410 0.465169 0.895018 1.724826 3.266850 5.978622 11.059562
2025-02-09 0.200744 0.427789 0.864313 1.746815 3.460809 6.601514 12.723531
2025-02-16 0.174020 0.390629 0.827041 1.749089 3.616749 7.175049 14.375257
2025-02-23 0.152208 0.359095 0.794953 1.755265 3.779434 7.780462 16.166525
2025-03-02 0.133783 0.331647 0.767384 1.768088 3.961805 8.457544 18.211044
2025-03-09 0.120444 0.313080 0.755634 1.812924 4.218566 9.319966 20.753139
2025-03-16 0.105437 0.287348 0.723225 1.806145 4.362418 9.968819 22.941716
2025-03-23 0.095545 0.272296 0.712943 1.848745 4.623821 10.904437 25.876468
2025-03-30 0.083559 0.249137 0.678753 1.827809 4.733780 11.520256 28.184892
2025-04-06 0.075498 0.234934 0.664512 1.854142 4.961701 12.435204 31.301934
2025-04-13 0.065475 0.212859 0.625551 1.809620 5.005957 12.924853 33.482751
2025-04-20 0.061147 0.206775 0.628890 1.879025 5.354166 14.194714 37.722674
2025-04-27 0.057995 0.203657 0.640041 1.972096 5.779647 15.711980 42.774532
2025-05-04 0.052770 0.192683 0.626373 1.992048 6.009076 16.760727 46.768616
2025-05-11 0.047546 0.180491 0.606774 1.991185 6.180247 17.680319 50.546036